Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -11 (76-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson | 37 | 3-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 35 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Parker | 34 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 31 | - |
| L. Leslie | 31 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| N. Quinn | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Lennox | 25 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| K. Harrower | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 34 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 9-11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| T. Smith | 30 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| L. Willingham | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Taylor | 21 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Swanier | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter