Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -9 (94-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 31 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 9-17 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 18 | - |
| L. Willingham | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| P. Taylor | 27 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| T. Smith | 25 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| T. Johnson | 21 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Swanier | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson | 37 | 9-18 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| C. Parker | 37 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 24 | - |
| N. Quinn | 36 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Leslie | 35 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Lennox | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter