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2009-09-17

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury San Antonio Silver Stars Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% -
Bradley-Terry 66.9% 33.1% -
Margin 58.1% 41.9% -1.8 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% -

Actual: San Antonio Silver Stars +1 (92-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Taurasi 34 5-14 1-6 4-4 7 5 0 1 6 15 8 -
C. Pondexter 31 4-12 0-2 7-7 2 2 2 0 2 15 7 -
T. Johnson 28 5-9 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 11 7 -
T. Smith 25 2-4 1-3 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
P. Taylor 25 6-8 1-2 5-5 4 6 0 1 0 18 21 -
D. Bonner 19 6-13 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 1 0 15 10 -
N. Ohlde 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
L. Willingham 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 4 5 -
K. Swanier 9 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 1 -

San Antonio Silver Stars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Young-Malcolm 34 10-19 0-0 4-4 4 2 3 2 2 24 14 -
B. Hammon 34 4-13 1-6 4-4 3 4 2 0 2 13 7 -
V. Johnson 30 3-5 0-1 3-4 3 8 0 0 0 9 15 -
A. Wauters 29 4-14 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 0 2 8 5 -
E. Lawson-Wade 27 6-8 4-6 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 16 17 -
R. Riley 17 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 3 0 7 10 -
S. Crossley 11 3-5 3-5 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 11 7 -
E. Perperoglou 10 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
H. Darling 7 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter