Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Detroit Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Shock +5 (94-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Latta | 38 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 34 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 33 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 15 | - |
| I. Castro | 29 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 8-11 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| E. de Souza | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| M. Snow | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Holdsclaw | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Herrington | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Miller | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 38 | 9-23 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 6 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 37 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| C. Ford | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 29 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| S. Zellous | 24 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| N. Teasley | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Braxton | 19 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| C. Kelly | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter