Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -3 (78-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson | 33 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| C. Parker | 33 | 9-21 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| N. Quinn | 32 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Lennox | 28 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 26 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| L. Leslie | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Harrower | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ohlde | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| P. Taylor | 24 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Johnson | 24 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 23 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| D. Bonner | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Swanier | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Smith | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Willingham | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Smith | 14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
* = starter