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2009-09-13

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 42.9% 57.1% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -

Actual: New York Liberty +21 (86-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Ajavon 31 6-20 2-3 1-6 9 1 2 0 2 15 5 -
M. Currie 26 4-7 2-2 7-8 6 5 2 2 1 17 24 -
N. Blue 20 2-4 1-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 3 7 2 -
L. Harding 20 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 4 -1 -
N. Sanford 20 2-6 0-0 5-7 0 0 1 0 3 9 1 -
M. Coleman 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 0 2 -
C. Melvin 19 2-4 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 0 2 7 7 -
K. Mann 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
C. Langhorne 16 2-5 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 6 6 -
B. Mosby 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Carson 26 7-8 3-3 0-0 3 3 1 2 0 17 18 -
L. Mitchell 23 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 6 0 0 1 3 5 -
S. Spencer 20 3-7 2-4 1-1 3 0 1 1 0 9 7 -
T. Jackson-Jones 18 5-6 0-0 4-4 5 1 2 1 1 14 16 -
S. Christon 18 1-4 1-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 0 4 6 -
K. Vaughn 17 3-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 9 7 -
L. Moore 17 2-8 0-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 4 -1 -
C. Kraayeveld 16 2-5 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
E. Larkins 16 3-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 2 1 1 9 11 -
A. Battle 16 2-6 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 5 2 -
J. McCarville 13 2-4 0-0 3-3 3 1 2 2 2 7 9 -

* = starter