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2009-04-01

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% - โœ“
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 โœ“ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Shelton 0 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 2 6 4 -
N. Lewis 0 4-6 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
A. Clifton 0 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
K. Cirone 0 7-24 0-6 10-12 7 4 4 0 1 24 14 -
M. Krick 0 4-12 2-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 10 4 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Smith 0 0-4 0-3 7-8 6 1 1 0 1 7 10 -
K. Boogarad 0 6-8 0-0 6-7 7 0 0 3 3 18 17 -
D. McCray 0 10-18 1-5 10-12 6 1 0 2 4 31 18 -
M. Stephens 0 4-9 0-1 0-0 4 6 0 1 3 8 7 -
I. Catic 0 1-2 0-0 0-1 5 6 1 0 3 2 9 -

* = starter