Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.6% | 70.4% | +4.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +24 (88-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandrine Gruda * | 30 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tan White * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kerri Gardin * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Amber Holt | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 18 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chante Black | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 11 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Shalee Lehning * | 28 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 20 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Michelle Snow | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Coco Miller | 13 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter