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Connecticut Sun 64
@
Atlanta Dream 88
2009-09-11

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% - ✓
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.8 ✓ (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - ✓

Actual: Atlanta Dream +24 (88-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gruda 30 4-12 0-0 8-9 6 0 1 0 3 16 8 -
A. Jekabsone-Zogota 27 5-12 1-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 13 6 -
L. Whalen 25 3-9 0-2 3-3 4 2 1 1 3 9 5 -
T. White 21 4-9 1-3 2-2 3 2 2 1 2 11 8 -
A. Holt 20 2-6 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
E. Phillips 18 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Gardin 17 2-4 0-1 3-4 3 1 2 1 1 7 9 -
C. Black 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 0 3 -
T. Whitmore 12 0-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -4 -
K. Brown 12 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Castro 28 3-10 0-3 1-1 2 3 1 0 1 7 2 -
S. Lehning 28 5-9 2-4 3-3 3 3 0 0 2 15 10 -
S. Lyttle 28 8-12 0-0 0-0 7 5 0 1 1 16 16 -
A. McCoughtry 27 6-11 1-3 5-5 6 3 6 0 2 18 20 -
M. Snow 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 2 3 -
E. de Souza 20 6-12 0-0 3-4 14 2 0 1 3 15 17 -
C. Miller 13 0-5 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
I. Latta 12 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 5 1 -
J. Lacy 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 2 3 4 -
A. Herrington 11 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 -

* = starter