Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 35 | 3-19 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 32 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 5 | - |
| C. Ford | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| N. Teasley | 24 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Zellous | 24 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Braxton | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| O. Sanni | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Kelly | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 27 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Montanana | 24 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Humphrey | 23 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Hodges | 22 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Miller | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| R. McCants | 20 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| C. Houston | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
* = starter