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2009-09-05

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks San Antonio Silver Stars Spread Result
Elo 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% - โœ—
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 โœ“ (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 63.1% 36.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.1% 49.9% - โœ—

Actual: San Antonio Silver Stars +17 (89-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Leslie 37 10-15 0-0 1-1 6 3 1 0 4 21 12 -
T. Thompson 37 3-8 2-4 4-4 1 3 0 0 1 12 7 -
Candace Parker 35 7-14 0-1 0-0 10 8 0 2 5 14 15 -
N. Quinn 30 4-6 1-3 0-0 4 5 2 0 0 9 14 -
D. Milton-Jones 22 3-6 0-1 1-1 0 0 1 0 3 7 -1 -
B. Lennox 22 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
K. Harrower 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Bobbitt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Wisdom-Hylton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Ferdinand-Harris 3 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

San Antonio Silver Stars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Johnson 34 11-14 5-6 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 27 17 -
B. Hammon 34 3-8 3-6 2-2 2 5 0 0 2 11 8 -
S. Young-Malcolm 33 7-13 0-0 3-4 3 3 3 1 0 17 14 -
E. Lawson-Wade 31 4-7 3-5 0-0 5 11 5 0 0 11 25 -
A. Wauters 31 6-12 0-0 3-3 3 2 0 0 2 15 6 -
R. Riley 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 0 2 -
H. Darling 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 4 0 0 0 2 6 -
S. Crossley 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
E. Perperoglou 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter