Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | +6.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +18 (100-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Castro | 33 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | - |
| E. de Souza | 31 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| S. Lehning | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 22 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| M. Snow | 22 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| A. Herrington | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 18 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| I. Latta | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Lacy | 9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Miller | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Johnson | 28 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 27 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| D. Bonner | 24 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| T. Smith | 22 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| P. Taylor | 18 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Willingham | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Swanier | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter