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2009-09-05

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 19.5% 80.5% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +18 (100-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Castro 33 6-17 3-9 3-3 4 1 0 0 3 18 3 -
E. de Souza 31 10-15 0-0 3-4 5 3 1 1 1 23 17 -
S. Lehning 31 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 10 0 1 1 3 12 -
A. McCoughtry 22 2-11 1-3 2-2 4 0 0 2 2 7 0 -
M. Snow 22 8-13 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 2 0 17 13 -
A. Herrington 18 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 2 1 4 -
S. Lyttle 18 4-11 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 8 4 -
I. Latta 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
J. Lacy 9 2-6 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
C. Miller 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Taurasi 31 6-15 1-4 0-0 6 7 0 1 3 13 9 -
T. Johnson 28 8-13 0-2 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 16 12 -
C. Pondexter 27 7-12 1-2 0-0 6 6 0 1 1 15 15 -
D. Bonner 24 6-10 1-1 7-8 7 1 2 1 0 20 21 -
T. Smith 22 2-10 0-6 0-0 5 1 3 2 0 4 5 -
P. Taylor 18 6-9 1-2 3-4 2 3 1 0 1 16 12 -
N. Ohlde 17 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
L. Willingham 16 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 8 8 -
K. Swanier 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Mazzante 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter