Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Detroit Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Shock +2 (101-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 15 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 29 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| P. Taylor | 26 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| T. Smith | 25 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| L. Willingham | 21 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Johnson | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Bonner | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Swanier | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 31 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| C. Ford | 30 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 19 | - |
| S. Zellous | 30 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| N. Teasley | 28 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. Braxton | 13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Kelly | 12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
* = starter