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2009-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 14.1% 85.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - โœ“
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brereton 0 6-13 2-7 1-2 7 1 2 2 3 15 11 -
W. Jones 0 3-7 0-0 5-8 6 1 0 1 1 11 11 -
S. Arnold 0 3-6 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 7 4 -
C. Ricketts 0 4-17 0-0 2-2 4 4 2 0 2 10 1 -
L. Harris 0 0-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Smith 0 0-2 0-1 1-2 6 3 0 1 0 1 9 -
K. Boogarad 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. McCray 0 11-17 4-7 9-10 8 1 1 3 4 35 27 -
M. Stephens 0 9-12 2-3 3-3 4 2 1 0 3 23 15 -
I. Catic 0 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 8 0 0 1 2 10 -

* = starter