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Pacific Tigers 49
@
Bradley Braves 59
2009-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 34.5% 65.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% - ✓
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 ✓ (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% - ✗
Log Adjusted 50.2% 49.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.0% 54.0% - ✓

Actual: Bradley Braves +10 (59-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Willard * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 2 10 19 -
M. Kirby * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 5 14 14 -
J. Ford * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 1 2 12 -
A. Brown * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. LeDuc 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 8 11 -
L. Neufville 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 7 10 -
T. Smith 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Doran 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Neimeyer 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 3 7 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Roberts * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 8 17 -
S. Maniscalco * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 7 10 10 -
T. Wilson * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 2 2 12 20 -
E. McCain * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 7 10 -
D. Collins * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 3 5 -
D. Dunson 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 13 20 -
S. Singh 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 2 6 -
T. Brown 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 4 9 -
D. Norris 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter