Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Mills * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 20 | - |
| D. Simpson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 26 | - |
| W. Hunter * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| O. Samhan * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 29 | - |
| M. McConnell * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Hughes | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| I. O'Leary | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Y. Smith | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| R. Amoroso * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| R. Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| K. Spain * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | - |
| B. White | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter