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2009-03-23

Model Predictions

Model James Madison Dukes Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% - โœ—
Margin 50.6% 49.4% -0.1 โœ“ (22.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 62.0% 38.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.9% 50.1% - โœ—

Actual: Liberty Flames -23 (65-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Swanston * 39 9-20 9-20 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 27 15 -
P. Curtis * 35 7-13 1-3 3-4 1 7 3 0 0 18 16 -
D. Moore * 34 4-9 0-2 6-6 4 2 0 0 3 14 8 -
J. Wells * 26 6-10 2-4 0-0 9 3 0 1 1 14 16 -
M. Parker 25 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 2 -
B. Louis 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 0 1 -
S. Renkin 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Knight 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
H. Ratner 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sanders * 38 4-9 0-2 8-9 6 8 0 0 3 16 18 -
A. Smith * 37 8-13 4-8 6-10 3 1 0 0 2 26 15 -
K. Ohman * 35 1-8 1-6 0-0 8 3 2 0 5 3 3 -
A. Smith * 15 1-4 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 1 1 5 3 -
T. Baker 14 2-7 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
J. Spencer 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Stephene 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Weaver 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter