Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | +7.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +12 (80-68). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 37 | 11-27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Lovedale * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Steve Rossiter * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Will Archambault * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Max Paulhus Gosselin * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Bryant Barr | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ben Allison | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brendan McKillop | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dan Nelms | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patty Mills * | 39 | 9-22 | 1-10 | 4-4 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Omar Samhan * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Diamon Simpson * | 33 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Wayne Hunter * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Mickey McConnell * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Carlin Hughes | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Yusef Smith | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ian O'Leary | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lucas Walker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter