Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +14 (77-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Dominique Canty * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash * | 23 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 31 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 18 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shameka Christon * | 35 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Loree Moore * | 28 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ashley Battle | 17 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Sidney Spencer | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter