Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +10 (91-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Whalen * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Tan White * | 32 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota * | 31 | 8-16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Sandrine Gruda * | 27 | 5-18 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Kerri Gardin * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Chante Black | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 11 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Amber Holt | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Thompson * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 26 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 32 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 21 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Betty Lennox | 18 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter