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2009-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 32.9% 67.1% -
Bradley-Terry 71.8% 28.2% -
Margin 78.1% 21.9% -7.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 37.0% 63.0% -
Efficiency 56.2% 43.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.2% 76.8% -
Log Adjusted 23.2% 76.8% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers -2 (72-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Rogers * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 0 1 15 28 -
C. Jerrells * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 0 0 1 16 26 -
L. Dunn * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 2 19 27 -
T. Carter * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 2 0 1 13 21 -
J. Lomers * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 0 5 -
M. Diene 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 6 12 -
H. Dugat 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 4 5 5 -
A. Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Barrett * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 16 23 -
K. Barber * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 0 1 11 25 -
D. Reed * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 13 12 -
Q. Robertson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 0 6 16 -
T. Waller * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 8 12 -
F. Sullivan 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 10 -
L. Hargrove 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 8 14 -
B. Knox 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter