Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +11 (95-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 35 | 9-17 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 10 | - |
| T. White | 33 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| L. Whalen | 30 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| S. Gruda | 29 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Gardin | 29 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Brown | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Holt | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Black | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 28 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Johnson | 24 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Smith | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| L. Willingham | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Swanier | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter