Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -8 (90-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 32 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| D. Bonner | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| T. Smith | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Johnson | 24 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 20 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Willingham | 15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Swanier | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Quinn | 37 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Thompson | 37 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 34 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| L. Leslie | 33 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| B. Lennox | 22 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter