Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Detroit Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Shock +4 (87-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 39 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 7-11 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 14 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 36 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| E. de Souza | 35 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| I. Castro | 34 | 8-19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | -2 | - |
| I. Latta | 21 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Lehning | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Snow | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Miller | 6 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A. Herrington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 37 | 10-25 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 5 | - |
| K. Smith | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Ford | 27 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| S. Zellous | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 26 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | - |
| K. Braxton | 15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Kelly | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| O. Sanni | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter