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2009-08-25

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Shock Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% -
Bradley-Terry 52.6% 47.4% -
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 (22.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun -20 (70-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nolan 31 6-12 2-3 3-3 3 4 2 0 3 17 11 -
A. Hornbuckle 31 4-8 1-2 0-0 7 4 2 0 4 9 10 -
K. Smith 27 7-11 5-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 19 10 -
S. Zellous 23 3-4 0-0 6-8 4 5 0 0 3 12 14 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 1 1 6 11 -
C. Ford 21 4-10 0-0 4-6 4 3 2 0 2 12 9 -
C. Kelly 18 3-6 0-0 3-3 8 0 1 0 3 9 9 -
K. Braxton 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
N. Teasley 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
O. Sanni 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gruda 31 7-10 0-0 5-8 3 1 1 0 2 19 12 -
L. Whalen 28 5-10 1-2 0-0 1 8 1 0 2 11 9 -
A. Jekabsone-Zogota 26 4-7 1-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 9 7 -
T. White 24 3-6 2-3 1-2 0 4 4 1 1 9 11 -
K. Gardin 21 2-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 4 5 5 -
E. Phillips 17 2-6 0-3 4-6 2 1 2 0 3 8 4 -
C. Black 15 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 -
A. Holt 14 0-5 0-1 2-4 5 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Whitmore 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
K. Brown 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 2 -1 -

* = starter