Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -4 (87-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 36 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 18 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kristi Harrower * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Betty Lennox | 22 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Vanessa Hayden | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry * | 36 | 11-20 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 32 | 9-23 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Shalee Lehning * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 18 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Michelle Snow | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Coco Miller | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter