Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -10 (81-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 37 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A. Beard | 36 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 33 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 13 | - |
| N. Sanford | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 20 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Currie | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| C. Melvin | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Coleman | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Mann | 6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Mosby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| T. Smith | 31 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 29 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Johnson | 25 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 22 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| L. Willingham | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Swanier | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter