Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | +8.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +10 (69-59). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hopson | 37 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| K. Watson | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 30 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Morris | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Terrence Simmons | 25 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| B. Wiley | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| L. de Souza | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| L. Augusto | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Blackstock | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Eisinger | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Willard | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Brown | 23 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Doran | 23 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Neufville | 20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. LeDuc | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Ford | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Terrell Smith | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| M. Kirby | 18 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C. Neimeyer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Shipley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter