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2009-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 56.7% 43.3% -
Bradley-Terry 62.2% 37.8% -
Margin 64.6% 35.4% -3.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% -
Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.6% 27.4% -
Log Adjusted 73.0% 27.0% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays -2 (63-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stevenson * 38 6-12 0-0 1-2 10 2 0 2 3 13 12 -
R. Harris * 34 2-4 0-0 5-7 4 8 2 0 3 9 16 -
J. Meeks * 30 4-9 1-2 7-7 3 1 2 0 1 16 12 -
M. Porter * 30 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 7 3 -
P. Patterson * 25 5-8 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 2 1 12 13 -
D. Miller 22 2-6 1-3 0-1 2 1 1 1 2 5 2 -
D. Liggins 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Galloway 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 0 2 -
J. Harrellson 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A.J. Stewart 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stinnett * 35 4-7 2-4 5-9 3 1 0 0 3 15 9 -
J. Carter * 27 3-8 2-4 0-2 15 1 1 0 1 8 16 -
B. Woodfox * 25 6-17 3-6 3-4 6 0 1 0 1 18 7 -
K. Lawson Jr. * 24 5-11 0-0 2-2 5 1 2 2 0 12 11 -
J. Dotzler * 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 6 2 0 1 0 6 -
A. Young 21 0-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 0 -3 -
K. Korver 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 3 1 1 0 3 4 -
C. Witter 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Harriman 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter