Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +12.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +6 (93-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becky Hammon * | 33 | 9-19 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Ann Wauters * | 30 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Edwige Lawson-Wade * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Megan Frazee | 15 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Helen Darling | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Erin Perperoglou | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Belinda Snell | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shalee Lehning * | 33 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 24 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 28 | 12-18 | 0-2 | 10-17 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 29 | - |
| Michelle Snow | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Coco Miller | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter