Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -7 (99-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 10-17 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 20 | - |
| T. Smith | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Bonner | 21 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| L. Willingham | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| P. Taylor | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Swanier | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 36 | 2-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| S. Ely-Gash | 30 | 11-18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 14 | - |
| J. Perkins | 26 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| K. Toliver | 20 | 8-10 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Canty | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Thorn | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Young | 14 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Nan | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Wyckoff | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter