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2009-08-18

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 95.7% 4.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 92.7% 7.3% - โœ“
Margin 94.1% 5.9% -15.3 โœ“ (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 79.1% 20.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.2% 6.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.2% 6.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 78.9% 21.1% - โœ“

Actual: Dallas Wings -4 (75-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 37 3-7 1-4 6-6 2 8 1 0 3 13 14 -
Swin Cash * 35 5-14 1-2 4-4 7 6 0 1 2 15 13 -
Lauren Jackson * 34 14-24 4-6 4-5 7 1 2 1 3 36 20 -
Camille Smith * 27 1-3 0-0 4-5 4 1 2 0 2 6 8 -
Tanisha Wright * 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 2 0 -
Shannon Johnson 19 0-2 0-2 4-4 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Janell Burse 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 3 4 -
Ashley Robinson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Suzy Batkovic-Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Smith * 36 1-7 1-5 2-2 0 5 0 0 2 5 1 -
Deanna Nolan * 36 12-25 0-5 5-6 6 0 2 0 3 29 9 -
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 32 5-8 0-0 1-1 8 4 1 0 1 11 15 -
Cheryl Ford * 25 1-4 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Alexis Hornbuckle * 15 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 4 0 0 2 3 5 -
Shavonte Zellous 26 4-8 0-1 7-7 4 0 0 1 1 15 11 -
Kara Braxton 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 4 4 -
Nikki Teasley 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Olayinka Sanni 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 -

* = starter