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2009-08-15

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hodges 38 9-15 5-10 2-2 8 6 1 0 3 25 22 -
C. Wiggins 34 5-13 4-10 0-0 2 6 1 0 1 14 9 -
N. Anosike 28 0-5 0-1 0-0 8 4 3 3 2 0 11 -
R. Montgomery 27 1-8 0-3 4-4 4 3 2 0 2 6 5 -
T. Humphrey 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
C. Houston 15 4-9 0-2 4-6 2 0 3 2 2 12 8 -
K. Miller 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
Q. Hollingsworth 14 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
A. Montanana 6 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
R. McCants 6 0-3 0-0 1-2 0 0 2 0 2 1 -2 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sylvia Fowles 36 6-12 0-0 2-3 9 3 1 1 3 14 13 -
Candice Dupree 34 6-15 0-0 2-2 14 1 0 0 4 14 10 -
J. Perkins 29 4-8 0-1 3-4 2 2 1 1 1 11 8 -
D. Canty 28 4-5 0-0 5-7 2 8 2 1 2 13 19 -
E. Thorn 27 5-10 3-6 4-5 2 6 0 0 1 17 14 -
S. Ely-Gash 20 1-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 2 -6 -
Kristi Toliver 12 0-2 0-2 2-3 2 2 1 0 0 2 5 -
C. Nan 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
T. Young 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -

* = starter