Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -17 (61-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker | 37 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | - |
| T. Thompson | 33 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 33 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| L. Leslie | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| N. Quinn | 25 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 12 | - |
| B. Lennox | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Harrower | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Powell | 37 | 8-18 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 4 | - |
| D. Walker | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Brunson | 29 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Lawson | 21 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Paris | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Kelly | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Harper | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter