Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.8 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deanna Nolan * | 40 | 7-25 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 28 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Cheryl Ford * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 17 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Barbara Farris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Olayinka Sanni | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 36 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Shalee Lehning * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 15 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Michelle Snow | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Coco Miller | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter