Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 40 | 7-25 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 11 | - |
| K. Smith | 29 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Ford | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| S. Zellous | 18 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Braxton | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Haynie | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Farris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Sanni | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Castro | 37 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | - |
| S. Lehning | 35 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. de Souza | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| C. Holdsclaw | 29 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| M. Snow | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 15 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| I. Latta | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Miller | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter