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2009-08-13

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 78.5% 21.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 72.7% 27.3% - โœ—
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 โœ— (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 65.2% 34.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 52.0% 48.0% - โœ—

Actual: Connecticut Sun +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Swin Cash * 34 0-7 0-1 2-4 5 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Sue Bird * 33 5-12 2-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 12 3 -
Tanisha Wright * 33 4-7 0-0 5-5 4 2 2 0 2 13 12 -
Camille Smith * 32 4-8 0-1 4-4 6 1 1 1 3 12 10 -
Lauren Jackson * 29 3-16 1-4 5-6 10 0 2 0 4 12 4 -
Shannon Johnson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 0 3 -
Janell Burse 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 2 3 -
Suzy Batkovic-Brown 8 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
Ashley Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sandrine Gruda * 35 6-13 0-0 2-4 7 2 0 3 2 14 11 -
Asjha Jones * 33 3-6 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 2 4 6 12 -
Lindsay Whalen * 30 4-8 1-2 2-2 4 7 3 0 3 11 14 -
Anete Jekabsone-Zogota * 30 3-12 2-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 5 8 -1 -
Tan White * 20 2-7 2-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 -1 -
Erin Phillips 17 2-5 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
Amber Holt 14 2-4 1-2 4-4 3 2 1 0 0 9 11 -
Tamika Whitmore 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Kiesha Brown 7 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Chante Black 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter