๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2009-08-09

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 51.6% 48.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% - โœ—
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 โœ“ (27.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 55.3% 44.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“

Actual: Connecticut Sun +29 (96-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alana Beard * 31 7-14 0-2 4-5 7 6 5 0 2 18 20 -
Lindsey Harding * 31 4-9 0-0 3-3 7 3 1 0 4 11 9 -
Crystal Langhorne * 24 6-10 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 14 5 -
Chasity Melvin * 22 3-8 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 1 1 7 0 -
Monique Currie * 15 0-4 0-4 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
Marissa Coleman 23 1-4 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
Nakia Sanford 15 2-4 0-0 2-6 4 1 0 0 3 6 4 -
Matee Ajavon 11 1-4 0-3 3-4 1 0 2 0 2 5 2 -
Kristen Mann 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Bernice Mosby 7 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Nikki Blue 7 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 0 -3 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Asjha Jones * 28 7-19 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 1 14 1 -
Sandrine Gruda * 27 6-10 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 0 1 14 7 -
Lindsay Whalen * 26 6-10 1-3 3-3 7 5 1 0 2 16 17 -
Anete Jekabsone-Zogota * 24 6-8 2-4 1-1 3 3 0 0 6 15 7 -
Tan White * 20 4-8 2-5 3-4 4 4 4 0 0 13 17 -
Erin Phillips 24 1-5 0-1 3-3 6 3 2 0 1 5 10 -
Amber Holt 19 1-5 0-2 4-4 8 2 1 0 0 6 12 -
Chante Black 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 2 2 -
Tamika Whitmore 9 3-6 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 7 3 -
Kiesha Brown 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Kerri Gardin 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 2 5 -

* = starter