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2009-08-08

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 15.0% 85.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 27.9% 72.1% - โœ—
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 โœ— (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 30.8% 69.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 30.8% 69.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Dream -2 (80-82). Ratings: 2010 season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candice Dupree * 37 6-13 0-0 5-8 11 4 0 3 4 17 18 -
Sylvia Fowles * 35 4-5 0-0 1-4 7 0 3 0 5 9 9 -
Jia Perkins * 26 4-8 0-0 6-8 3 5 2 0 1 14 15 -
Dominique Canty * 20 3-8 0-1 4-7 2 2 4 0 0 10 10 -
Brooke Wyckoff * 17 2-4 2-3 1-2 2 0 1 1 1 7 6 -
Erin Thorn 25 8-12 1-3 3-4 3 1 1 0 1 20 12 -
K.B. Sharp 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
Shyra Ely-Gash 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Armintie Herrington 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 4 0 -3 -
Kristi Toliver 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
Chen Nan 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Erika de Souza * 30 5-15 0-0 1-2 15 0 2 0 2 11 11 -
Sancho Lyttle * 23 4-12 0-0 2-4 11 1 1 0 3 10 8 -
Chamique Holdsclaw * 20 2-8 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 4 -3 -
Iziane Castro Marques * 12 3-5 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 6 0 -
Shalee Lehning * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Coco Miller 24 3-5 0-1 2-2 0 3 1 0 1 8 6 -
Ivory Latta 21 5-9 3-5 5-5 0 3 1 0 2 18 11 -
Angel McCoughtry 17 5-8 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
Jennifer Lacy 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 -2 -
Tamera Young 11 1-1 0-0 3-4 1 2 1 0 0 5 8 -
Michelle Snow 10 1-4 0-0 4-4 4 2 0 1 0 6 9 -

* = starter