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2009-08-07

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Shock Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% -
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% -
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% -

Actual: Washington Mystics +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Smith 38 3-7 1-2 2-2 4 4 0 0 1 9 9 -
D. Nolan 36 5-16 0-2 2-3 4 6 1 0 2 12 5 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 33 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 6 8 -
K. Braxton 23 6-11 0-0 2-4 6 2 2 0 3 14 10 -
A. Hornbuckle 22 4-9 1-1 0-0 2 1 3 1 3 9 4 -
S. Zellous 17 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
C. Ford 14 0-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
K. Haynie 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
O. Sanni 6 2-3 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 1 1 6 4 -
B. Farris 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 38 3-9 0-3 2-5 3 4 0 1 1 8 6 -
A. Beard 34 5-13 2-6 3-5 6 2 2 0 4 15 8 -
C. Langhorne 29 2-4 0-0 1-1 9 2 2 1 2 5 13 -
N. Sanford 24 5-6 0-0 4-8 8 2 0 1 3 14 16 -
M. Currie 21 2-8 0-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 6 4 -
C. Melvin 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 6 3 -
M. Coleman 16 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 5 2 -
M. Ajavon 9 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 5 1 -
K. Mann 6 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
B. Mosby 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Blue 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter