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2009-08-05

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Margin 15.3% 84.7% +9.4 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candice Dupree 36 7-20 1-3 4-5 13 2 1 1 4 19 12 -
Sylvia Fowles 34 6-7 0-0 3-3 9 3 0 1 3 15 18 -
D. Canty 26 4-10 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 8 3 -
J. Perkins 25 5-12 1-2 0-0 3 1 3 0 2 11 4 -
B. Wyckoff 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 0 -1 -
S. Ely-Gash 14 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
E. Thorn 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 3 5 -
A. Herrington 14 1-4 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
K.B. Sharp 14 1-1 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
C. Nan 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Hoffman 31 3-9 1-3 0-0 6 1 2 0 2 7 5 -
J. Moore 31 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 3 0 0 6 10 -
T. Bevilaqua 27 4-12 2-7 2-3 3 3 1 1 0 12 8 -
K. Douglas 25 5-16 1-7 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 14 1 -
T. Catchings 23 4-8 2-3 2-2 3 0 1 1 3 12 6 -
S. Murphy 23 5-9 1-3 2-2 7 0 0 1 2 13 10 -
T. Dixon 16 3-8 0-1 0-1 6 2 2 0 0 6 8 -
Briann January 14 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 4 2 -
J. Davenport 8 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 2 4 -
C. Wirth 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter