Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | +1.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -11 (90-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 36 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 6-19 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| T. Smith | 32 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| T. Johnson | 31 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Bonner | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Willingham | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | - |
| P. Taylor | 19 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| K. Swanier | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Little | 43 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| T. Wright | 41 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 21 | - |
| S. Bird | 40 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| S. Cash | 40 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| L. Jackson | 40 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| S. Johnson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Burse | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Gearlds | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter