Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -4 (59-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ann Wauters * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Helen Darling | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Megan Frazee | 15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Erin Perperoglou | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Edwige Lawson-Wade | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Belinda Snell | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Thompson * | 37 | 2-19 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kristi Harrower * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lisa Leslie | 23 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Vanessa Hayden | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter