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2009-08-02

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 28.7% 71.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% - โœ—
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.6 โœ— (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 50.0% 50.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.4% 54.6% - โœ—

Actual: Washington Mystics -8 (79-87). Ratings: 2010 season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamika Catchings * 34 7-13 0-2 5-7 9 5 0 0 2 19 18 -
Katie Douglas * 31 7-13 3-5 7-7 2 3 2 0 5 24 13 -
Ebony Hoffman * 28 6-7 0-1 3-3 4 2 3 0 0 15 17 -
Jessica Moore * 27 5-11 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 10 -1 -
Tully Bevilaqua * 24 1-4 1-4 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 5 7 -
Briann January 23 2-5 0-2 2-2 4 0 2 0 1 6 6 -
Tamecka Dixon 20 2-7 0-1 4-4 4 2 1 1 0 8 9 -
Jessica Davenport 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
Christina Wirth 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lindsey Harding * 36 8-12 0-1 6-7 5 4 3 0 2 22 20 -
Alana Beard * 31 8-18 1-3 6-8 4 1 1 0 3 23 8 -
Crystal Langhorne * 30 3-6 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 4 6 2 -
Monique Currie * 27 3-5 2-2 4-4 7 4 1 0 0 12 19 -
Chasity Melvin * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 2 1 2 4 -
Nakia Sanford 17 1-5 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 3 3 2 -
Marissa Coleman 14 1-6 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
Bernice Mosby 11 1-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
Matee Ajavon 10 0-5 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Kristen Mann 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter