Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -18 (65-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 30 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Sandrine Gruda * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 27 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Tan White * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Chante Black | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 12 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Amber Holt | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kerri Gardin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deanna Nolan * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Cheryl Ford * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 19 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Olayinka Sanni | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter