Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +6 (89-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shameka Christon * | 32 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 12-13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 32 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 31 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Loree Moore * | 28 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ashley Battle | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sidney Spencer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 28 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Shalee Lehning * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 23 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Michelle Snow | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Coco Miller | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter