Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +12 (84-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asjha Jones * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Sandrine Gruda * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kerri Gardin * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tan White | 25 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota | 22 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Chante Black | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Amber Holt | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 32 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Dominique Canty * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 21 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 14 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chen Nan | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter