๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2009-08-01

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 7.9% 92.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.4% 90.6% - โœ“
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.7 โœ“ (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.6% 92.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.5% 92.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +3 (85-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 38 4-14 0-3 5-5 6 4 1 1 2 13 9 -
Becky Hammon * 38 8-22 1-7 3-5 10 2 2 0 2 20 10 -
Ruth Riley * 28 5-7 1-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 13 12 -
Vickie Johnson * 23 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 3 1 -
Belinda Snell * 17 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
Helen Darling 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 2 3 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade 16 2-9 1-8 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 7 2 -
Megan Frazee 15 2-7 1-2 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
Ann Wauters 14 2-3 0-0 4-6 0 0 0 1 2 8 4 -
Erin Perperoglou 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
Shanna Zolman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 41 5-18 1-5 4-4 4 5 3 0 1 15 8 -
Lauren Jackson * 38 6-17 0-2 11-14 13 2 1 1 1 23 22 -
Swin Cash * 37 4-13 0-0 4-4 10 1 0 1 1 12 10 -
Tanisha Wright * 32 3-8 0-0 2-2 5 4 0 0 1 8 8 -
Camille Smith * 27 4-8 1-1 2-4 6 2 0 0 2 11 9 -
Shannon Johnson 22 2-3 1-2 5-6 3 1 1 0 2 10 10 -
Janell Burse 13 2-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Katie Gearlds 10 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter