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2009-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 63.8% 36.2% -
Bradley-Terry 68.7% 31.3% -
Margin 74.3% 25.7% -5.8 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% -
Log Adjusted 45.4% 54.6% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -18 (66-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Rogers * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 2 16 25 -
C. Jerrells * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 5 16 20 -
T. Carter * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 12 21 -
L. Dunn * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 3 0 2 13 25 -
J. Lomers * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 2 12 14 -
H. Dugat 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 3 0 3 10 19 -
M. Diene 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Jones 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
F. Ellis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Delaney * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 10 2 1 2 14 31 -
A.D. Vassallo * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 12 18 -
J. Allen * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 0 1 9 14 -
D. Hudson * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 9 13 -
C. Diakite * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Thompson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 8 12 -
T. Bell 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 5 11 -
H. Thorns 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
V. Davila 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
L. Witcher 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
P. Debnam 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Vinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter