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New Mexico Lobos 68
@
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 70
2009-03-19

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico Lobos Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 76.5% 23.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 20.2% 79.8% - ✓
Margin 10.8% 89.2% +11.6 ✓ (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 37.8% 62.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.3% 62.7% - ✓

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Danridge * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 3 5 11 -
R. Martinez * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 1 8 18 -
D. Gary * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 15 21 -
D. Faris * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 15 21 -
P. McDonald * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 11 10 -
C. Toppert 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 10 18 -
A.J. Hardeman 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 5 -
J. Wills 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Garth 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 2 6 -
W. Brown 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. McAlarney * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 11 11 -
R. Ayers * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 1 1 7 18 -
L. Harangody * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 3 2 4 26 38 -
T. Jackson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 2 16 24 -
Z. Hillesland * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 2 1 7 16 -
J. Peoples 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 0 8 -
T. Nash 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 3 -
L. Zeller 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter